Est. October 22, 2016
Will Bernie make it?
A $100 wager placed on October 22, 2016 on whether Senator Bernie Sanders will still be alive by October 22, 2026. Ten years. One question.
$100 · Max vs. Andrew · Oct 22, 2016 → Oct 22, 2026
Time Remaining For Bernie to Survive
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Bet resolves October 22, 2026
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)
Current Age
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Born September 8, 1941 · Brooklyn, NY
SSA Actuarial Life Expectancy
~90.2 years
+6.2 yrs remaining on average · SSA 2022 Period Life Table (male, age 84)
Odds of surviving to Oct 22, 2026
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Based on SSA annual mortality probability for males age 84 (q₈₄ = 0.0975)
Proof of Life · Official Senate Activity
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Actuarial Lifespan Projection · SSA 2022 Period Life Table (Male)
Age 0 → projected ~90.2
Birth · 1941
Today · Age 84
Projected · ~90
Years lived
Actuarially projected remaining
Bet deadline (Oct 22, 2026)
Source: SSA 2022 Period Life Table, 2025 Trustees Report. Male age 84: life expectancy 6.18 additional years (to ~90.2). Annual death probability q₈₄ ≈ 9.75%. This is a population average — individual outcomes vary.
Bet Timeline
Oct 22
2016
2016
Today
Oct 22
2026
2026
— % of bet elapsed